1) Energy balance in real life: maintenance, deficit, surplus
Energy balance is the relationship between the energy you take in from food and drink (calories) and the energy your body uses (to stay alive, move, digest, and train). Fat loss happens when, over time, you spend more energy than you take in—this is a calorie deficit.
Maintenance (body weight tends to stay stable)
If your intake roughly matches your expenditure, your average scale weight tends to hover in a similar range. Example: You eat similarly most days, your steps and training are steady, and your weekly average weight doesn’t drift up or down.
Deficit (fat loss over time)
If your intake is consistently lower than your expenditure, your body covers the gap by using stored energy (including body fat). Example: You slightly reduce portions and add a daily walk; your weekly average weight trends down over several weeks.
Surplus (weight gain over time)
If your intake is consistently higher than your expenditure, your body stores the extra energy. Example: Larger portions, more calorie-dense snacks, less movement; your weekly average weight trends up.
Why consistency beats perfection
Energy balance is not decided by one meal or one day. It’s the pattern that matters. Two practical implications:
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- Daily fluctuations are normal: water, salt, carbs, stress, and digestion can move scale weight up/down even when fat is unchanged.
- Small, repeatable changes win: a modest deficit you can keep for months beats an aggressive deficit you abandon after 10 days.
Think in averages: if you’re “pretty good” most of the time, you can still get excellent results.
2) The main levers that create a deficit (without feeling like math)
You can influence energy balance through a few big levers. You don’t need to pull all of them—often 1–2 are enough.
Lever A: Portion size (the fastest lever)
Portion size changes calories even if food choices stay the same. Examples:
- Use a smaller bowl for cereal or yogurt.
- Serve one plate, then pause 10 minutes before deciding on seconds.
- Reduce added fats slightly (oil, butter, nut butter) because they’re calorie-dense.
Step-by-step portion tweak:
- Pick one meal you eat most days.
- Reduce the most calorie-dense part by ~10–20% (e.g., slightly less rice/pasta, or 1 less tablespoon of oil).
- Replace volume with vegetables, fruit, or lean protein so the meal still feels satisfying.
Lever B: Food choices (energy density)
Energy density means calories per bite/volume. Lower energy density foods let you eat a satisfying amount for fewer calories.
| Lower energy density (easier deficit) | Higher energy density (easy to overshoot) |
|---|---|
| Vegetables, fruit, broth-based soups | Chips, pastries, candy |
| Lean proteins (chicken breast, fish, low-fat Greek yogurt) | Fatty meats, cheese-heavy dishes |
| Potatoes, oats, beans (filling for many people) | Nuts, nut butters, oils (healthy but concentrated) |
| Air-popped popcorn | Fried snacks |
You don’t need to ban higher energy density foods. The skill is portioning them intentionally and pairing them with lower energy density foods (e.g., a measured serving of chips with a big salad and a protein).
Lever C: Meal timing and structure (reducing “accidental calories”)
Timing doesn’t “break” energy balance, but it can make a deficit easier by reducing grazing and decision fatigue.
- Regular meals: Many people do well with 3 meals, or 2–3 meals plus 1 planned snack.
- Protein earlier: Starting the day with a protein-containing meal often reduces later cravings.
- Planned treats: If you like dessert, plan it (portion + time) instead of “random bites” all evening.
Step-by-step structure option:
- Choose your default pattern (e.g., breakfast/lunch/dinner + one snack).
- Decide when the snack happens (e.g., mid-afternoon).
- Keep the snack consistent on weekdays (same 2–3 options) to reduce tracking and decision fatigue.
Lever D: Activity (increasing expenditure and protecting results)
Activity helps create a deficit and can make your intake feel less restrictive. It also supports muscle retention and appetite regulation.
- Steps: A daily step target is simple and effective (e.g., add 1,000–3,000 steps/day from your current baseline).
- Resistance training: Helps maintain muscle while dieting, improving body composition.
- “Hidden” movement: Short walks after meals, taking stairs, standing breaks.
Important: activity is a lever, not a punishment. Use it to support your plan, not to “earn” food after overeating.
3) Three application levels: choose the least tracking that still works
Tracking is a tool, not a requirement. Start with the simplest approach that produces a clear trend over 2–3 weeks. If it doesn’t, move up one level.
Level 1: No-tracking (Plate Method)
Best for: beginners, people who dislike numbers, busy schedules, or anyone prone to obsession.
Plate Method template (most meals):
- 1/2 plate: non-starchy vegetables (salad, broccoli, peppers, zucchini, etc.)
- 1/4 plate: protein (chicken, fish, eggs, tofu, Greek yogurt, lean meat, beans)
- 1/4 plate: carbs (rice, pasta, potatoes, bread, fruit, beans)
- + 1 thumb: fats (oil, butter, nuts, avocado) if not already included
How to create a deficit with this method:
- Keep protein the same or slightly higher.
- Increase vegetables (volume).
- Slightly reduce the most calorie-dense part (often fats and/or refined carbs).
Example dinner: Half plate roasted vegetables, quarter plate salmon, quarter plate potatoes, plus a small drizzle of olive oil. If progress stalls, reduce oil or potato portion slightly and add more vegetables.
Level 2: Light tracking (hand portions, labels, and a few “anchors”)
Best for: people who want more precision without weighing everything.
Hand portion guide (per meal):
- Protein: 1–2 palms
- Carbs: 1 cupped hand (more if very active)
- Fats: 1 thumb
- Vegetables: 1–2 fists (or more)
Label-based anchors: Use nutrition labels for a few calorie-dense items you tend to overeat (oils, peanut butter, cereal, cheese, snacks). You don’t need to log everything—just measure/standardize the “easy to overshoot” foods.
Step-by-step light tracking setup:
- Pick 2 meals you eat often and standardize them (similar ingredients/portions).
- Measure only the calorie-dense add-ons for a week (oil, nut butter, cheese, dressings).
- Use hand portions for the rest.
- Adjust one variable at a time if needed (e.g., reduce carbs at dinner from 1.5 cupped hands to 1).
Level 3: Full tracking (app + food scale)
Best for: short periods when you need clarity (plateaus, very specific goals, learning portions), or when you enjoy data and can keep it emotionally neutral.
How to avoid burnout with full tracking:
- Use “good enough” accuracy: don’t chase perfect entries; choose the closest match and move on.
- Track repeat meals: save recipes and rotate them.
- Set a time limit: consider using full tracking for 2–6 weeks, then step down to light tracking once you’ve learned your portions.
- Plan for social meals: estimate, don’t punish yourself with extreme restriction the next day.
Red flags to step down a level: anxiety around eating, frequent “all-or-nothing” reactions, avoiding social events, or spending excessive time logging.
4) Estimating a starting intake range and adjusting using 2–3 week trends
You can start without knowing your exact maintenance. The goal is to choose a reasonable starting point, then adjust based on trend data (not single weigh-ins).
A simple starting intake range (two options)
Option A: Bodyweight-based estimate (quick and practical)
Use your current body weight and pick a range based on activity and hunger. This is a starting estimate:
- Maintenance estimate:
bodyweight (lb) × 14–16calories/day (most people) - Fat-loss starting range: subtract ~300–500 calories/day from the maintenance estimate
Example: 180 lb person → maintenance ~ 2,520–2,880 kcal/day. Fat-loss start ~ 2,020–2,580 kcal/day. Choose the middle if unsure, then adjust with trends.
If you use kilograms:
- Maintenance estimate:
bodyweight (kg) × 30–35calories/day - Fat-loss starting range: subtract ~200–400 calories/day
Option B: “Track nothing” starting point (behavior-based)
If you don’t want calorie numbers yet, start with a deficit by design:
- Build 2–3 meals/day using the Plate Method.
- Include one protein at each meal.
- Limit calorie-dense extras to 1–2 planned portions/day (e.g., 1 dessert portion or 1 snack portion).
- Add 1–2 short walks (10–20 minutes) most days.
If weight trend doesn’t change after 2–3 weeks, you can either reduce portions slightly or move to light tracking for clarity.
How to measure progress using trends (not noise)
Weigh-in method:
- Weigh yourself 3–7 mornings/week (after bathroom, before food).
- Calculate a weekly average.
- Compare weekly averages over 2–3 weeks.
What rate of loss to look for: a common sustainable range is about 0.25–1.0% of body weight per week (slower for leaner individuals, faster for those with more to lose).
Adjustment rules after 2–3 weeks
Make one change, then reassess for another 2 weeks.
| If your 2–3 week trend shows… | What it likely means | One simple adjustment |
|---|---|---|
| No change (flat weekly averages) | You’re near maintenance | Reduce daily intake by ~150–250 kcal or remove 1 calorie-dense add-on/day or add 1,500–2,500 steps/day |
| Very slow loss (below your target) | Deficit is small | Trim one portion (carb or fat) at one meal, or add 10–15 min walking most days |
| Fast loss + high hunger/low energy | Deficit may be too aggressive | Add ~100–200 kcal/day (often from carbs around training or more protein/fruit), or reduce extra activity slightly |
| Loss is on target but adherence is hard | Plan is too complex | Simplify: repeat meals, step down tracking level, pre-portion snacks |
A practical “one-change” menu of deficit tweaks
- Portion tweak: remove 1 thumb of added fat at one meal (e.g., less oil/dressing).
- Carb tweak: reduce one starchy carb serving from 1.5 to 1 cupped hand at dinner.
- Snack tweak: replace one snack with fruit + yogurt or a protein option.
- Movement tweak: add a 15-minute walk after lunch 5 days/week.
Pick the tweak that feels easiest to repeat. The best deficit is the one you can sustain with minimal friction.