1) Choose the Model Type from Context (and Justify It)
Most growth/decay problems start with a context clue that tells you whether to use a discrete factor model (repeated multiplication at fixed intervals) or a continuous-like model (smooth change over time). Your first job is to translate the story into the right “time step.”
Discrete factor (compounded per interval)
- Signals: “per year,” “each month,” “every 5 minutes,” “compounded monthly,” “doubles every 3 days,” “decreases by 12% each week.”
- Model form:
A(t)=A_0\,b^twheretcounts the number of intervals (years, months, weeks, etc.). - Interpretation:
bis the multiplication factor each interval (e.g., 1.08 means +8% per interval; 0.93 means −7% per interval).
Continuous-like change (constant percent rate per unit time)
- Signals: “continuously,” “constant relative rate,” “instantaneous rate,” “half-life,” “decays continuously,” “grows at 5% per year (continuously).”
- Model form:
A(t)=A_0 e^{kt}wheretis time in chosen units andkis the continuous rate per unit time. - Interpretation: If
k>0it grows; ifk<0it decays. The percent rate is approximately100k%per unit time for small|k|, but the exact relationship to a discrete annual factor isb=e^k(for 1-year steps).
Quick decision checklist
- Does the quantity update at regular checkpoints? Use
A_0 b^t. - Does the context imply smooth change or give half-life/continuous rate? Use
A_0 e^{kt}. - Are you given a percent change “per period” with no mention of continuous? Default to discrete unless stated otherwise.
2) Solve for the Unknown (Initial Value, Factor/Rate, or Time)
Once the model type is chosen, identify what is unknown: initial value (A_0), factor/rate (b or k), or time (t). Keep units attached to every number.
A) Solve for the initial value A_0
Example (discrete): A population is 18,500 after 6 years, growing by 4% per year. Find the initial population.
Model: A(t)=A_0(1.04)^t. Plug in t=6, A(6)=18500:
18500 = A0(1.04)^6 => A0 = 18500/(1.04)^6Compute and round appropriately (population is a count): A_0\approx 18500/1.2653\approx 14620. So the initial population was about 14,620 people.
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Example (continuous-like): A chemical sample has mass 12.0 g after 3.5 hours and decays with k=-0.18 per hour. Find the initial mass.
12.0 = A0 e^{-0.18(3.5)} => A0 = 12.0 / e^{-0.63} = 12.0 e^{0.63}A_0\approx 12.0(1.878)\approx 22.5. Initial mass ≈ 22.5 g.
B) Solve for the factor b or rate k
Example (find discrete factor): A device’s value drops from $900 to $540 in 4 years with a constant yearly factor. Find the yearly factor and percent decrease.
540 = 900 b^4 => b^4 = 0.6 => b = 0.6^{1/4}b\approx 0.6^{0.25}\approx 0.880. That means about a 12.0% decrease per year (since 1-0.880=0.120).
Example (find continuous rate): A bacteria culture grows from 2,000 to 9,000 in 5 hours with continuous-like growth. Find k.
9000 = 2000 e^{5k} => 4.5 = e^{5k} => ln(4.5) = 5k => k = ln(4.5)/5k\approx 1.5041/5\approx 0.3008 per hour. Interpreting: about 0.3008 hr−1 continuous growth rate.
C) Solve for time t (log step)
Time is the unknown most likely to require a logarithm step. The workflow is: isolate the exponential part, then take a log.
Example (discrete time): An investment grows 6% per year. How long to double?
2 = (1.06)^t => ln(2) = t ln(1.06) => t = ln(2)/ln(1.06)t\approx 0.6931/0.05827\approx 11.9. Interpretation: about 12 years to double (rounding to whole years makes sense for annual compounding).
Example (continuous-like time): A medication amount follows A(t)=A_0 e^{-0.22t}. How long until it reaches 25% of the initial amount?
0.25A0 = A0 e^{-0.22t} => 0.25 = e^{-0.22t}ln(0.25) = -0.22t => t = ln(0.25)/(-0.22)t\approx (-1.3863)/(-0.22)\approx 6.30. About 6.3 hours.
3) Interpret Solutions: Units, Rounding, and Reasonableness Checks
Solving the equation is only half the job. Your answer should make sense in the original context.
Units and meaning
- State units explicitly: dollars, grams, people, years, hours.
- Interpret parameters: “factor 0.88 per year” means multiply by 0.88 each year; “
k=-0.22per hour” means the amount shrinks continuously at that relative rate. - Be clear about what
tcounts: number of months vs years is not interchangeable.
Rounding decisions (context-driven)
- Counts (people, items): round to whole numbers, but consider whether rounding up/down changes the meaning (e.g., minimum time needed).
- Money: typically to cents, unless the context is large-scale estimates.
- Time to reach a threshold: if the question asks “how long until at least/at most,” rounding direction matters. If decay must drop below a level, you may need to round up to ensure the condition is met.
Reasonableness checks
- Growth vs decay sign check: If the quantity is supposed to decrease, your factor should be
<1(ork<0). - Back-substitution check: Plug your answer back into the model to see if it reproduces the given value (approximately, if rounded).
- Scale check: If something “doubles” with 6% yearly growth, expecting around 12 years is plausible because 6% is modest; if you got 2 years, that’s a red flag.
4) Compare Two Exponential Models: Which Grows Faster and Why?
Comparing exponentials is about comparing their multiplication behavior. You can compare by (a) rewriting to a common base, (b) comparing growth rates, or (c) solving for the crossover time using logs.
A) Same time unit, same structure: compare bases or rates
If A(t)=A_0 b^t and C(t)=C_0 d^t with the same t unit, then for large t, the one with larger base (b vs d) eventually grows faster, but the initial values (A_0, C_0) can delay that.
B) Find the crossover time (algebra + log thinking)
Example: Plan A: A(t)=500(1.08)^t. Plan B: B(t)=900(1.05)^t. When does A exceed B?
Set them equal to find the crossover:
500(1.08)^t = 900(1.05)^t(1.08/1.05)^t = 900/500 = 1.8t ln(1.08/1.05) = ln(1.8) => t = ln(1.8)/ln(1.08/1.05)Compute: 1.08/1.05\approx 1.028571. Then t\approx 0.5878/0.02817\approx 20.9. Interpretation: after about 21 years, Plan A overtakes Plan B. Before that, B is larger due to the higher initial amount.
C) Comparing discrete vs continuous-like models
Sometimes one model is written with b^t and another with e^{kt}. You can still compare by converting one form to the other using b=e^k (same time unit). For example, e^{0.07t} corresponds to a discrete factor of e^{0.07}\approx 1.0725 per unit time, i.e., about 7.25% per unit time in a discrete-step sense.
5) Culminating Multi-Step Scenarios (Model → Solve → Interpret)
Scenario 1: Depreciation, then a threshold time
Context: A camera costs $1,600 new and loses 18% of its value each year. (a) Write a model for its value after t years. (b) When will it be worth $500 or less?
Step 1: Choose model type. “Each year” suggests discrete factor.
Step 2: Build model. Factor per year: b=1-0.18=0.82. So V(t)=1600(0.82)^t.
Step 3: Solve for time.
500 = 1600(0.82)^t => 0.3125 = (0.82)^tt = ln(0.3125)/ln(0.82)t\approx (-1.1632)/(-0.19845)\approx 5.86 years.
Step 4: Interpret with rounding direction. The question asks “$500 or less,” so you need the first whole year when the value is at most $500. Since t\approx 5.86, after 5 years it’s still above $500, and after 6 years it should be below. Report: about 6 years.
Scenario 2: Recover a starting amount from two measurements (continuous-like)
Context: A pollutant concentration decays continuously. After 2 days it is 48 mg/L, and after 5 days it is 30 mg/L. (a) Find a model C(t)=C_0 e^{kt} with t in days. (b) Find the initial concentration C_0. (c) Predict when it will reach 10 mg/L.
Step 1: Choose model type. “Decays continuously” suggests e^{kt}.
Step 2: Use the two data points to solve for k.
48 = C0 e^{2k}30 = C0 e^{5k}Divide the second by the first to eliminate C_0:
30/48 = e^{5k}/e^{2k} = e^{3k}0.625 = e^{3k} => ln(0.625)=3k => k = ln(0.625)/3k\approx (-0.4700)/3\approx -0.1567 per day.
Step 3: Solve for C_0. Use 48=C_0 e^{2k}:
C0 = 48 / e^{2k} = 48 e^{-2k}With k\approx -0.1567, -2k\approx 0.3134, so C_0\approx 48e^{0.3134}\approx 65.7 mg/L.
Step 4: Predict time to 10 mg/L.
10 = 65.7 e^{-0.1567 t} => 10/65.7 = e^{-0.1567 t}t = ln(10/65.7)/(-0.1567)t\approx ln(0.1522)/(-0.1567)\approx (-1.882)/(-0.1567)\approx 12.0 days. Interpretation: about 12 days after the start, the concentration reaches 10 mg/L.
Scenario 3: Compare two savings plans and justify the better choice by a target date
Context: You want at least $20,000 in 10 years.
- Plan A: Start with $8,000 and earn 6.2% per year compounded annually.
- Plan B: Start with $10,000 and earn 5.4% per year compounded annually.
Step 1: Choose model type. “Compounded annually” is discrete.
Step 2: Write both models.
A(t)=8000(1.062)^t, B(t)=10000(1.054)^t.
Step 3: Evaluate at the target time t=10.
A(10)=8000(1.062)^{10} ≈ 8000(1.826) ≈ 14608B(10)=10000(1.054)^{10} ≈ 10000(1.692) ≈ 16920Step 4: Interpret and reasonableness check. Neither plan reaches $20,000 by year 10. Plan B is larger at year 10 because it starts higher and the rate difference is not enough to catch up within 10 years. If the question were “which grows faster,” Plan A has the larger factor (1.062 vs 1.054) and will eventually overtake; but for the 10-year goal, Plan B yields more.
Scenario 4: Multi-step with a change of units (monthly vs yearly)
Context: A subscription base grows by 3% each month. It currently has 12,000 subscribers. (a) Model the number after m months. (b) How many months until it reaches 20,000? (c) Estimate how many years that is, and state your rounding choice.
Step 1: Choose model type. “Each month” indicates discrete monthly factor.
Step 2: Model. S(m)=12000(1.03)^m.
Step 3: Solve for months.
20000 = 12000(1.03)^m => 5/3 = (1.03)^mm = ln(5/3)/ln(1.03)m\approx 0.5108/0.02956\approx 17.3 months.
Step 4: Convert to years and interpret. 17.3 months is 17.3/12\approx 1.44 years. If the question is “until it reaches 20,000,” you might report 18 months (round up) because at 17 months it may still be below 20,000.
Scenario 5: A crossover comparison plus a short interpretation statement
Context: Two online creators start with different follower counts and grow at different rates.
- Creator X: 4,000 followers, grows 9% per month.
- Creator Y: 7,500 followers, grows 4% per month.
(a) Write models. (b) When will X surpass Y? (c) Write a one-sentence interpretation tied to the context.
Step 1: Model type. Monthly percent growth → discrete monthly factor.
Step 2: Models. X(m)=4000(1.09)^m, Y(m)=7500(1.04)^m.
Step 3: Solve crossover time.
4000(1.09)^m = 7500(1.04)^m(1.09/1.04)^m = 7500/4000 = 1.875m = ln(1.875)/ln(1.09/1.04)1.09/1.04\approx 1.0480769, so m\approx 0.6286/0.04696\approx 13.4 months.
Step 4: Interpretation statement. Creator X is expected to surpass Creator Y after about 14 months because X’s higher monthly growth factor eventually outweighs Y’s larger starting follower count.
Mini reference table: what to isolate before taking logs
| Goal | Typical equation | Isolate first | Then |
|---|---|---|---|
| Find time (discrete) | A=A0 b^t | A/A0=b^t | t=ln(A/A0)/ln(b) |
| Find time (continuous-like) | A=A0 e^{kt} | A/A0=e^{kt} | t=ln(A/A0)/k |
| Find factor | A=A0 b^t | b^t=A/A0 | b=(A/A0)^{1/t} |
| Find rate | A=A0 e^{kt} | e^{kt}=A/A0 | k=ln(A/A0)/t |